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In August of 2021, the US economy has made a strong come back. The multifamily market is showing promising numbers comparable to pre-pandemic levels, national rent growth has increased by 2.5% YOY in May, and multifamily acquisitions are surpassing both the industrial and office sectors combined. Economic trends like this can be used as major tools that many syndicators and real estate investors apply to their evaluations when deciding where to invest next. A market with strong economic growth and low unemployment rates can indicate a better tenant base and therefore oftentimes higher collection rates, which are key for a strongly performing investment. Alternatively, a market with low economic growth may cause investors to stray away from investing in that market.
In order to calculate economic growth, researchers at Stessa analyzed data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. Bureau, and Redfin, and created a composite score on a scale of 1 – 100 per market-based on the following data points:
Percentage change in total employment from January to May 2021
Unemployment rates from May 2021
Average monthly building permits per capita (averaged over January to May 2021)
Average monthly home sales per capita (averaged over January to May 2021)
Based on the calculation of these metrics, these are The Top 10 Cities with the Most Economic Growth in 2021 with a population of at least 100,000: 10. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Composite Score: 68.9
Unemployment Rate: 3.9%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.1%
Median Household Income: $59,948
9. Salt Lake City, UT
Composite Score: 69.9
Unemployment Rate: 2.8%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.1%
Median Household Income: $60,676
8. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Composite Score: 70.4
Unemployment Rate: 4.6%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.0%
Median Household Income: $53,833
7. Minneapolis-St.Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Composite Score: 71.4
Unemployment Rate: 3.8%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.7%
Median Household Income: $62,583
6. Oklahoma City, OK
Composite Score: 73.0
Unemployment Rate: 3.6%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.3%
Median Household Income: $55,557
5. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sandford, FL
Composite Score: 74.7
Unemployment Rate: 5.4%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 2.8%
Median Household Income: $51,757
4. Jacksonville, FL
Composite Score: 77.9
Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 0.8%
Median Household Income: $54,701
3. Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Composite Score: 77.9
Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.3%
Median Household Income: $71,576
2. Raleigh-Cary, NC
Composite Score: 78.6
Unemployment Rate: 3.8%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.0%
Median Household Income: $67,266
1. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN
Composite Score: 78.9
Unemployment Rate: 3.9%
Percentage Change in Total Employment: 1.1%
Median Household Income: $59,828
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About the Author
Ellie is the founder of Blue Lake Capital, a commercial real estate investment firm specializing in multifamily investing throughout the United States. At Blue Lake Capital, Ellie partners with both institutional and individual investors to grow their wealth by achieving double-digit returns by investing alongside her in exclusive multifamily deals they usually don't have access to.
A defining factor of Blue Lake Capital’s strategy is founded in utilizing machine learning/artificial intelligence throughout the course of all acquisitions and asset management. This advanced technology enables the company to produce accurate and data-driven forecasting for all assets on a market, property, and even tenant basis. In doing so, Blue Lake is able to lead commercial investments with the full capabilities of today’s technology.
Ellie is the host of REady2Scale, a podcast that highlights honest, insightful, and thought-provoking discussions on the multiple approaches for successful real estate investing.
She started her career as a commercial real estate lawyer, leading real estate transactions for one of Israel’s leading development companies. Later, as a property manager for Israel’s largest energy company, she oversaw properties worth over $100MM. Additionally, Ellie is an experienced entrepreneur who helped build and scale companies by improving their business operations.
Ellie holds a Masters in Law from Bar-Ilan University in Israel and an MBA from MIT Sloan School of Management.
You can read more about Blue Lake Capital at www.bluelake-capital.com and learn more about Ellie at www.ellieperlman.com.
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