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Net migration, in its simplest form, is simply the number or people expected to move into or out of an area. A positive net migration is an important factor to take into consideration when assessing a market to invest in, as it indicates an expected increase in demand for housing. A market with a negative or declining net migration is a red flag – if people are moving out of the market, the demand for housing will decrease, as well as increase vacancies.
There are a number of factors that influence net migrations, including cost of living, the job market and major employers, crime rates, taxes, weather patterns, and more. Before investing in a market, or when you’re already actively invested in one, it’s important to stay up-to-date with net migration patterns to help you determine if a market is strong and has long-term sustainability for investing. This is one of the reasons why I personally invest in properties in Texas, Florida, and Georgia.
According to the “2020 Multifamily Investment Forecast” by IPA Research, here are the top 10 cities with the highest net migration forecasted for 2020:
10. Raleigh, NC
Current Population: 469,298
Forecasted Net Migration: 28,200
Percentage of Population: 1.4%
9. Seattle-Tacoma, WA
Current Population: 744,955
Forecasted Net Migration: 33,400
Percentage of Population: 0.8%
8. Austin, TX
Current Population: 964,254
Forecasted Net Migration: 36,300
Percentage of Population: 1.6%
7. Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL
Current Population: 392,890
Forecasted Net Migration: 40,800
Percentage of Population: 1.3%
6. Orlando, FL
Current Population: 285,713
Forecasted Net Migration: 48,400
Percentage of Population: 1.8%
5. Houston, TX
Current Population: 2,325,502
Forecasted Net Migration: 54,800
Percentage of Population: 0.8%
4. Atlanta, GA
Current Population: 498,044
Forecasted Net Migration: 55,400
Percentage of Population: 0.9%
3. Southeast Florida
Current Population: 5,751,627
Forecasted Net Migration: 68,700
Percentage of Population: 1.1%
2. Dallas / Fort Worth, TX
Current Population: 6,800,000
Forecasted Net Migration: 69,600
Percentage of Population: 0.9%
1. Phoenix, AZ
Current Population: 1,660,272
Forecasted Net Migration: 77,600
Percentage of Population: 1.5%
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About the Author
Ellie is the founder of Blue Lake Capital, a real estate company specialized in multifamily investing throughout the United States. At Blue Lake Capital, Ellie helps investors grow their wealth and achieve double-digit returns by investing alongside her in exclusive multifamily deals they usually don't have access to.
Ellie is the host of REady2Scale , a podcast that highlights honest, insightful, and thought-provoking discussions on the multiple approaches for successful real estate investing.
She started her career as a commercial real estate lawyer, leading real estate transactions for one of Israel’s leading development companies. Later, as a property manager for Israel’s largest energy company, she oversaw properties worth over $100MM. Additionally, Ellie is an experienced entrepreneur who helped build and scale companies by improving their business operations.
Ellie holds a Masters in Law from Bar-Ilan University in Israel and an MBA from MIT Sloan School of Management.
You can read more about Blue Lake Capital at www.bluelake-capital.com and learn more about Ellie at www.ellieperlman.com.
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